Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 28, 2025

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Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 28, 2025

The No. 25 Boise State Broncos (0-0) are 6.5-point favorites heading into their matchup on Thursday, August 28, 2025 against the South Florida Bulls (0-0). The game has a 63-point over/under.

  • When: Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Box Score on FOX Sports
  • Boise State vs South Florida Betting Information updated as of August 26, 2025, 6:45 a.m. ET.
    Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
    Boise State -6.5 (-108) -239 +194 63 -110 -110

    Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction

    • Pick ATS: Boise State (-6.5)
    • Pick OU: Under (63)
    • Prediction: Boise State 37, South Florida 24

    Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

    Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the South Florida Bulls game on FOX Sports!

    Boise State vs. South Florida Betting Insights

    • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Broncos 35, Bulls 28.
    • The Broncos have a 70.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline’s implied probability. The Bulls have a 34.0% implied probability.
    • Boise State put together a 7-6-0 record against the spread last season.
    • South Florida put together a 6-6-0 record against the spread last year.

    Boise State vs. South Florida: 2024 Stats Comparison

    Boise State South Florida
    Off. Points per Game (Rank) 37.3 (7) 32.2 (36)
    Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.6 (61) 29.8 (106)
    Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 12 (20) 18 (63)
    Turnovers Forced (Rank) 16 (77) 26 (9)

    Boise State 2024 Key Players

    Name Position Stats
    Ashton Jeanty RB 2,601 YDS / 29 TD / 185.8 YPG / 7 YPC
    23 REC / 138 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 10.6 REC YPG
    Maddux Madsen QB 3,018 YDS (62.4%) / 23 TD / 6 INT
    221 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 15.8 RUSH YPG
    Cameron Camper WR 58 REC / 903 YDS / 4 TD / 64.5 YPG
    Matt Lauter TE 47 REC / 619 YDS / 7 TD / 44.2 YPG
    Seyi Oladipo DB 52 TKL / 10 TFL / 6.5 SACK
    Ahmed Hassanein DL 44 TKL / 11 TFL / 9.5 SACK
    Jayden Virgin DL 35 TKL / 10 TFL / 10 SACK
    Ty Benefield DB 60 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

    South Florida 2024 Key Players

    Name Position Stats
    Kelley Joiner Jr. RB 799 YDS / 12 TD / 61.5 YPG / 6.6 YPC
    9 REC / 80 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 8 REC YPG
    Bryce Archie QB 1,914 YDS (59.3%) / 9 TD / 10 INT
    137 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 10.5 RUSH YPG
    Nay’Quan Wright RB 510 YDS / 8 TD / 39.2 YPG / 4.7 YPC
    22 REC / 149 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.4 REC YPG
    Taron Keith RB 419 YDS / 8 TD / 32.2 YPG / 5.4 YPC
    13 REC / 157 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.7 REC YPG
    Mac Harris LB 61 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
    Jhalyn Shuler LB 51 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 2 INT
    Tavin Ward DB 51 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
    Tawfiq Byard DB 49 TKL / 7 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT

    FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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