This story has been updated to direct you to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
Though there are systems brewing, all is quiet in the tropics − for now.
On Sunday, Oct. 5, experts were tracking a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave, referred to as Invest 95L (AL95) by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, and a weak area of low pressure over the north-central Gulf producing showers and thunderstorms near the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.
Days after Hurricane Humberto and Hurricane Imelda fizzled out over the open Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center was keep tracking of an area of low pressure and a tropical wave off the coast of Africa.
More than four months after the start of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, there have been several hurricanes and tropical storms churning in the tropics, but none have made landfall.
The 8 p.m. Sunday, Oct. 5, 2025, tropical weather advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows the tropical wave, currently in the open Atlantic, has a medium chance of formation within 48 hours and a high chance of formation within the next seven days.
The hurricane center graphics and live weather radars below show what’s swirling in the tropics as well as the conditions for potential rain, flash flood and other warnings.
➤ 2025 Atlantic hurricane season predictions
Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1 to Nov. 30 every year, with the most activity between August and October. Should another weather system develop into a tropical storm, the system would be named Jerry, which is next on the list of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season names (see below).
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Keep reading for information about tropical storm activity for Sunday, Oct. 5, 2025.
National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, forecast on tropical activity: Is there a tropical storm or hurricane now?
According to the Sunday, Oct. 5, 2025, tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, experts are keeping an eye on a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave. The graphic above automatically updates with the most recent location for any or all disturbances.
Where is Invest 95L in the Atlantic?
In the tropical Atlantic, shown in red in the graphic above: A broad area of low pressure associated with a low-latitude tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Forecasters refer to this storm as Invest 95L or AL95.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek as it moves quickly across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching the Leeward Islands by the latter part of this week. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system.
Formation chance through 48 hours was medium or 50 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days was high or 70 percent.
The USA TODAY Network in Florida will produce daily tropics watch advisories.
Spaghetti models for Invest 95L or AL95
The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Trump’s order.
Is it raining in Florida today? Live weather radar
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Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida
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Contributing: Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network-Florida
This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: National Hurricane Center in Florida tracking AL95. Next storm? Jerry
