“Democratic voters outnumber Republicans in California by nearly 2 to 1,” writes George Skelton, our columnist. “But the voters’ choices for governor could be restricted to just two Republicans — both disciples of President Trump, who is despised in this state.”
“The odds against this scenario are high. But it’s an increasing possibility,” writes Skelton.
Political data guru Paul Mitchell, who has been running primary election simulations, pegs the chances of a Democratic lockout at 20%.
“There’s only a one-in-five chance, but you don’t want to see a one-in-five chance with something this important,” says the statistician, who works mostly for Democrats.
“It’s too late to change for this year, but we could for future elections. It would require voter approval,” writes Skelton.
Read his full column in the latest L.A. Times Politics newsletter at the link in our bio.
