Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 28, 2025

Data Skrive

The No. 25 Boise State Broncos (0-0) are 6.5-point favorites heading into their matchup on Thursday, August 28, 2025 against the South Florida Bulls (0-0). The game has a 63-point over/under.

Last year, the Broncos went 12-2 and lost the Fiesta Bowl – Quarterfinal. On offense, they averaged 37.3 points per game (fifth in college football), and they conceded 22.6 per game (37th in college football) defensively. A year ago, the Bulls won the Hawai’i Bowl after going 7-6 in the regular season. Offensively they averaged 32.2 points per game (33rd in college football), and they conceded 29.8 per game (99th in college football) on defense.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Boise State vs. South Florida Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Box Score on FOX Sports
Boise State vs South Florida Betting Information updated as of August 26, 2025, 6:45 a.m. ET.
FavoriteSpread (Odds)Favorite MoneylineUnderdog MoneylineTotalOver MoneylineUnder Moneyline
Boise State-6.5 (-108)-239+19463-110-110

Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Boise State (-6.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (63)
  • Prediction: Boise State 37, South Florida 24

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the South Florida Bulls game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. South Florida Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Broncos 35, Bulls 28.
  • The Broncos have a 70.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline’s implied probability. The Bulls have a 34.0% implied probability.
  • Boise State put together a 7-6-0 record against the spread last season.
  • South Florida put together a 6-6-0 record against the spread last year.

Boise State vs. South Florida: 2024 Stats Comparison

Boise StateSouth Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank)37.3 (7)32.2 (36)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)22.6 (61)29.8 (106)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)12 (20)18 (63)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)16 (77)26 (9)

Boise State 2024 Key Players

NamePositionStats
Ashton JeantyRB2,601 YDS / 29 TD / 185.8 YPG / 7 YPC
23 REC / 138 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 10.6 REC YPG
Maddux MadsenQB3,018 YDS (62.4%) / 23 TD / 6 INT
221 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 15.8 RUSH YPG
Cameron CamperWR58 REC / 903 YDS / 4 TD / 64.5 YPG
Matt LauterTE47 REC / 619 YDS / 7 TD / 44.2 YPG
Seyi OladipoDB52 TKL / 10 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Ahmed HassaneinDL44 TKL / 11 TFL / 9.5 SACK
Jayden VirginDL35 TKL / 10 TFL / 10 SACK
Ty BenefieldDB60 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

South Florida 2024 Key Players

NamePositionStats
Kelley Joiner Jr.RB799 YDS / 12 TD / 61.5 YPG / 6.6 YPC
9 REC / 80 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 8 REC YPG
Bryce ArchieQB1,914 YDS (59.3%) / 9 TD / 10 INT
137 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 10.5 RUSH YPG
Nay’Quan WrightRB510 YDS / 8 TD / 39.2 YPG / 4.7 YPC
22 REC / 149 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.4 REC YPG
Taron KeithRB419 YDS / 8 TD / 32.2 YPG / 5.4 YPC
13 REC / 157 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.7 REC YPG
Mac HarrisLB61 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Jhalyn ShulerLB51 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 2 INT
Tavin WardDB51 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Tawfiq ByardDB49 TKL / 7 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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